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Israel: tougher than we think
Israel would survive a nuclear war with Iran, says the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
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"The report assesses that a nuclear war would last approximately three weeks and ultimately end with the annihilation of Iran, due to Israel's alleged possession of weapons with a far larger yield. Israel, according to the assessment, would have a larger chance of survival. The report does not attempt to predict how many deaths would eventually be caused by possible nuclear fallout.
Even if Iran gained the means and knowledge to create nuclear weapons, according to the report it would still be limited to 100 kiloton weapons, which can cause a far smaller radius of destruction than the 1 megaton bombs Israel allegedly possesses."
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"Another scenario presented by the report includes Syria joining the bandwagon in case of a war and lobbing missiles with chemical and biological warheads into Israeli cities. According to the report, up to 800,000 Israelis would be killed if that were to happen. Syria, however, would be forced to grapple with the deaths of approximately 18 million of its citizens were Israel to respond with its nuclear arsenal.
Israel, the report says, would launch a nuclear attack on Cairo and additional Egyptian cities, and would destroy the Aswan Dam if Egypt joined the fray."
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This report is absolutely fascinating, though a bit morbid. Despite all of their saber-rattling, Iran and it's allies (the Arab nations surrounding Israel), would be crushed in a military conflict. This, of course, is reminiscent of the Six-Day war. Unfortunately, the report (according to the article), doesn't take into account any support from Israel's allies. One would hope the US wouldn't get involved with regard to nuclear weapons, but it would be interesting to study the international ramifications of such an event.
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Israel has been shoring up its defenses in recent months, even working to prepare their citizens for missile attacks.
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-Matt Hittle
Posted at 08:55AM Dec 24, 2007 by College Republicans in Foreign Policy | Comments[0]
