US Senate Race Update!
While I was far from the first to make such a claim, I would like to point out that this blog pointed out the possibility of a 60 seat supermajority in the US Senate (and also correctly identified 2 of the 3 unlikely states of Republican weakness - Georgia and Texas), before most national media began trumpetting the possibility.
For those of you interested in following this development, I recommend Fivethirtyeight.com's excellent Senate projection site (while you're there, be sure to bask in the glory that is Barack Obama's 90%+ win percentage).
Currently, the electoral map has been trending evermore blue with the seats of both Republican incumbents Gordon Smith (Oregon) and Elizabeth Dole (North Carolina) sliding back from the toss-up to the "lean Dems" category. The only true toss-ups left are the seat of Ted Stevens of Alaska and Norm Coleman of Minnesota.
Meanwhile, Democrats are making considerable headway in Georgia (against Saxby Chambliss, king of the once-vulnerable Senator Tim Johnson has maintained his utterly commanding lead over Joel Dykstra, even chickenhawks) and Kentucky (against Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell). And on the home front, picking up predictable endorsements of organizations like the NRA (who still tries to maintain the charade of bipartisanship by endorsing Democratic candidates in landslide electrions).
And while it is FAR too early to plan so far ahead, this election could have potential ramifications on the Senate races in 2010 as that election cycle will feature another wave of weak Republican incumbents such as Jim Bunnings (Kentucky), Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) and other, older Republican incumbents (like Sam Brownback (Kansas) and possibly John McCain) retiring. A Republican loss by the likes of Stevens and McConnell would not bode well for the likes of Bunnings and Murkowski.
Also, speaking of Republican incumbents, three of them appear on Esquire's list of top 10 worst Senate Critters. (They are Ted Stevens, Big BAD John Coryn*, and Saxby Chickenhawk)
*Seriously, click this link, if you haven't seen it, you'll love it forever.
America was spiraling into a massive recession in 1932 in which Franklin Delano Roosevelt was the newly elected President. His “New Deal” policies restructured the US economy, and expanded the role of government in an unprecedented fashion. The New Deal worked, in the short term, but caused some lasting long term damage.
Paul Rubin states in this Wall Street Journal article that the current state of the US economy isn’t in the same shape as in 1932, but many of the same things are there: stock market dropping, credit markets are disappearing, and a popular presidential Democratic candidate – Barack Obama – runs upon a platform that promises to put more governmental regulation on the economy. Obama’s presidency, if elected, will possibly be coupled with a 60 seat majority in the Senate, safe from filibustering, putting the nation as close to a purely liberal government as it ever has been.
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Posted by David Johnston on October 25, 2008 at 06:11 AM CDT #
America was spiraling into a massive recession in 1932 in which Franklin Delano Roosevelt was the newly elected President. His “New Deal” policies restructured the US economy, and expanded the role of government in an unprecedented fashion. The New Deal worked, in the short term, but caused some lasting long term damage.
Paul Rubin states in this Wall Street Journal article that the current state of the US economy isn’t in the same shape as in 1932, but many of the same things are there: stock market dropping, credit markets are disappearing, and a popular presidential Democratic candidate – Barack Obama – runs upon a platform that promises to put more governmental regulation on the economy. Obama’s presidency, if elected, will possibly be coupled with a 60 seat majority in the Senate, safe from filibustering, putting the nation as close to a purely liberal government as it ever has been.
Posted by David Johnston on October 25, 2008 at 06:13 AM CDT #
I say awesome to that.
Posted by Xiao Xi on October 29, 2008 at 11:06 AM CDT #